Kenya’s Harambee Stars have been eliminated from the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) after a 1-1 draw against Zimbabwe in a pivotal Group J qualifier. The match, held at the Peter Mokaba Stadium in Polokwane, South Africa, confirmed Zimbabwe and Cameroon as the group’s representatives in Morocco. Despite a spirited second-half resurgence, Kenya’s shortcomings in critical moments throughout the qualifiers ultimately sealed their fate.
First-Half Struggles Define Kenya’s Challenge
The match began with Kenya showcasing urgency, driven by the leadership of captain Michael Olunga. Early in the game, Olunga nearly punished a defensive lapse from Zimbabwe’s Teenage Hadebe, only to see his effort thwarted by goalkeeper Marley Tavaziva. The opportunity set the tone for a high-stakes encounter filled with nervy moments for both sides.
Zimbabwe, led by the creative brilliance of Khama Billiat, soon found their rhythm. Walter Musona came close to breaking the deadlock, only to be denied by Kenya’s keeper Bryne Odhiambo. The reprieve was short-lived as Zimbabwe’s Tawanda Maswanhise fired a clinical shot into the bottom corner in the 32nd minute. The goal, set up by a deft assist from Billiat, exposed gaps in Kenya’s defense and left the Harambee Stars trailing 1-0 at halftime.
Tactical Changes Spark Hope in the Second Half
Kenya’s head coach, Engin Firat, made key tactical changes during the break, introducing Duke Abuya and Charles Momanyi. The substitutions revitalized Kenya’s attack, injecting energy and creativity into the team. Just seven minutes into the second half, Jonah Ayunga, on his debut, found the equalizer. The forward capitalized on a chaotic goalmouth scramble, slotting the ball into the net to level the scores at 1-1.
Jonah Ayunga puts Harambee Stars on level terms against Zimbabwe in South Africa in the 2025 AFCON Qualifier. pic.twitter.com/tIYvCRzy2W
— TONY KWALANDA (@KWALANDA) November 15, 2024
Kenya pushed for a second goal, with Olunga urging his teammates to utilize the wings to break down Zimbabwe’s defense. Despite their captain’s efforts, the Harambee Stars squandered several key opportunities. Johnstone Omurwa’s missed header from a corner was a notable chance that could have turned the tide in Kenya’s favor.
Zimbabwe’s Defensive Masterclass
Zimbabwe, buoyed by their opening goal, showcased resilience in defense. Teenage Hadebe and Tavaziva marshaled the backline with composure, frustrating Kenya’s attackers. As the clock ticked down, Zimbabwean fans roared with every clearance and block, celebrating what became a defensive masterclass.
Maswanhise’s influence extended beyond his goal. The forward continued to stretch Kenya’s defense, creating chances that could have sealed the match for Zimbabwe. His standout performance underscored the quality that helped Zimbabwe secure their place in Morocco.
Comoros, Zambia, Zimbabwe and Mali are the latest teams to qualify.
Only 5 spots are left, who will take them?#AFCON2025Q pic.twitter.com/TlsbF6K77H
— Carol Radull (@CarolRadull) November 16, 2024
Key Takeaways from the Match
1. Michael Olunga’s Leadership
Kenya’s captain, Michael Olunga, was at the heart of his team’s efforts. His tactical awareness was evident as he directed play and encouraged his teammates to exploit Zimbabwe’s flanks. However, his impact was limited by a lack of clinical finishing and cohesion among his teammates.
2. Tawanda Maswanhise’s Game-Changing Role
Maswanhise’s ability to influence the game on both ends was a highlight for Zimbabwe. His goal and playmaking prowess proved pivotal, as he consistently troubled Kenya’s defense.
3. Jonah Ayunga’s Bright Debut
Ayunga’s debut goal was a moment of pride for Kenya, offering a glimpse of what he could bring to the team in future campaigns. However, his efforts were not enough to overcome Zimbabwe’s organized defense.
4. Missed Opportunities
Kenya’s inability to capitalize on key moments proved costly. Missed chances, including Omurwa’s header and poor execution in the final third, highlighted the team’s lack of composure under pressure.
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Implications for Kenya
The draw marks yet another missed opportunity for Kenya to participate in AFCON, a tournament they last qualified for in 2019. The Harambee Stars’ failure to secure a spot in Morocco reflects deeper issues within the national football setup. The lack of consistent performance in qualifiers underscores the need for introspection and strategic changes.
Engin Firat’s tenure as head coach will undoubtedly come under scrutiny. While there were moments of promise, such as Ayunga’s goal and the team’s second-half resurgence, Kenya’s overall campaign was marred by defensive lapses and a lack of attacking potency.
Fan Reactions and Future Prospects
The draw was met with contrasting emotions. Zimbabwean fans celebrated wildly, knowing their team had secured a place at AFCON 2025. For Kenyan supporters, the result was a bitter pill to swallow. Many took to social media to express frustration, calling for reforms in Kenyan football.
FT
1-1 #HarambeeStars pic.twitter.com/mdEI3RuSJV
— Harambee Stars (@Harambee__Stars) November 15, 2024
With one game remaining against Namibia, Kenya will play for pride, while Zimbabwe and Cameroon prepare to represent Group J in Morocco. For the Harambee Stars, the focus must shift to rebuilding and addressing the structural challenges that have hindered their progress.
 A Time for Reflection
Kenya’s failure to qualify for AFCON 2025 is a stark reminder of the work needed to elevate the national team to continental competitiveness. From tactical adjustments to player development and organizational reforms, the Harambee Stars must take a long-term approach to rebuilding.
While the draw with Zimbabwe is a disappointment, it also offers valuable lessons. Kenya’s focus should now be on nurturing talent, refining tactics, and fostering a culture of consistency to ensure that future generations can compete at the highest level.
As Zimbabwe and Cameroon prepare for Morocco, Kenya’s journey ends with a call to action: a commitment to transformation and the pursuit of a brighter future for Kenyan football.
